THE DOT - if this turns orange or red be alert

Sunday, October 1, 2023


 Bond crash in a 5 wave pattern about to find  its bottom around 110, ideally would briefly go below Boll and reverse in Oct with a bullish divergence pattern creating an ABC correction in the range 105-130. While the FED will pause the curve inversion will normalize in 2024. Since the long term uptrend is broken expect more downside in the 2nd half of 24 as we had for the elections turbulences in financial markets are to be expected starting Q2 24 again. In Q4 of this year bank failures are likely which might lead to some dovish FED adjustments but no rate cuts yet.

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