THE DOT - if this turns orange or red be alert

Monday, July 20, 2009

Trickery and treachery are the practices of fools that have not wits enough to be honest.

That is a quote from Benjamin Franklin the president who had the guts to close the first version of the Rothschild FED. Against all myths they have created around them self Goldman (Rothschild through marriage and other dealings have strong connections to some other families) does not really have the wits but the streetsmarts and strategy with a very long perspective.
The timing of Goldman is very obvious as they upgraded the whole market today - if you may remember at the lows they were much more bearish officially but you can be sure they were the buyers. Today they came up with a bullish call to put some strength below the market as they turned it around last week on extreme low volume but nevertheless the earnings season starting to get into a higher gear this week will bring more negative news but you should not doubt for one moment that they still will manage to get the SPX above 1000 with the first goal to fabricate a weekly close above 960 to trigger the mainstream technicians in more bullish calls. Art Cashin good in quite right but with the war chest they have the the short sided attitude of DC to support them as they want the consumer to get into a spending mood although they can not afford any consumption. The second excerpt tells the ugly part of the scenario as the bank crisis could cost the taxpayer up to 24 trillion, this disgusting media cheers 70 bil of TARP repaid by the Rothschild gang as a success with trillions still out there and hundreds of billions which are already lost forever ( Fannie ,Freddie and AIG).


Art Cashin: My Take on Goldman's S&P Call
Published: Monday, 20 Jul 2009

Goldman Sachs issued a bullish note on the S&P 500, raising its target for the index to 1060 from 940 by year's end.

Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services, offered CNBC his take on the Goldman note and the stock markets.

"Certainly, they've got the shorts a little panicky," Cashin said.

But does he fully accept Goldman's outlook? "Not quite yet," he cautioned.

"If we can break out to new highs, you might get a whole new leg up in this."

"But I haven't seen the changes in the economy...that I think would justify a 15 percent move up."

Goldman Makes the News:

He remains skeptical on the optimism over stronger earnings reported, citing the cost-cutting, rather than revenue increases, driving much of the season.

"Even if you can take your costs down to zero, you've got to stop somewhere."


Government's Bank Rescue Could Total $24 Trillion
Published: Monday, 20 Jul 2009 |

The federal government has devoted $4.7 trillion to help the financial sector through its crisis, a watchdog report said Monday.


Under the worst of circumstances, the report said, the government's maximum exposure could total nearly $24 trillion, or $80,000 for every American.

The figures are part of a tough new quarterly report to Congress from special inspector general Neil Barofsky, who accuses the Treasury Department of repeatedly failing to adopt recommendations aimed at making one component of the government financial rescue effort more accountable and transparent.

The $4.7 trillion commitment to the industry equals about one third of the overall U.S. economy and takes into account about 50 initiatives and programs set up since 2007 by the Bush and Obama administrations as well as by the Federal Reserve. Barofsky oversees one of the initiatives — the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program.

Much of the government assistance is backed by collateral and Barofsky's $23.7 trillion estimate represents the gross, not net, exposure that the government could face. No one has suggested that the full amount will be used.

The Treasury Department disputed the report, however, saying the estimate is inflated, and that the actual cash outlays total less than $2 trillion. The financial crisis programs include charges and fees to compensate taxpayers for the risk, which Barofsky failed to account for, Treasury sources told CNBC.

Because of declining participation in short-term loan programs and because some infusions of money have been repaid, the maximum amount actually spent has declined to a current outstanding balance of $3 trillion, Barofsky said.

The agencies and the programs assisting the financial sector include a newly created Federal Housing Finance Agency, increased deposit insurance initiated by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., and 18 support programs created by the Fed under the special powers it can deploy to address a systemwide financial crisis.

Banks have cut back on their use of the Fed's emergency lending program as well as other programs to ease credit stresses. Given that, the Fed has reduced the amount it will lend to financial institutions under two programs and it has decided to let a program to support money market mutual funds to expire as currently scheduled at the end of October.

Barofsky's $23.7 trillion estimate represents the maximum exposure that the government would face if all eligible applicants requested the maximum assistance at the same time. It does not account for the fees and other costs that some of these programs charge and for the collateral that many of the programs require that participants provide.

"While quantity and quality of the assets backing all of these programs vary, ignoring that side of these programs misrepresents 'potential exposure' associated with them," Treasury spokesman Andrew Williams said.

In his report, Barofsky says Treasury has accepted some of his recommendations for greater accountability, but says the department has not taken steps to require all TARP recipients to report on their actual use of funds. He said Treasury also should report the values of its investments in banks and other financial institutions, disclose the identity of borrowers under a nonrecourse loan program and disclose trading activity under a public-private investment fund.

Barofsky says Treasury's inaction means taxpayers have not been told what the financial institutions that have received assistance are doing with the money.

Barofsky's conclusion is contained in a quarterly report to Congress and in testimony he is prepared to give Tuesday to the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee.

"The very credibility of TARP (and thus in large measure its chance of success) depends on whether Treasury will commit, in deed as in word, to operate TARP with the highest degree of transparency possible," Barofsky said.

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